March 2018

U.S. Non-farm Employment Net Job Creation

Total non-seasonally adjusted, (NSA) nonfarm payroll employment increased by 313,000 in February and the December and January figures were revised higher, to 175,000 and 239,000 respectfully. A total of 148,177,000 people were employed in non-farm jobs as the unemployment rate held steady according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, (BLS) report. Employment growth has averaged [...]

Consumer Credit

Consumer credit continued to climb but the pace of growth has slowed somewhat. Total consumer credit increased by $13.9 billion, (B) in January, well below the consensus estimate of $17.8B. Non-revolving credit advanced by $13.2B or 95% of the gain, while revolving credit moved-up by just $0.7B, its lowest level since July 2103. On a [...]

Currency Report

The dollar Broad Index posted a reading of 94.05 for February, up 0.4% month on month yet still close to its lowest level in two years. The rate of decline has moderated over the past month likely because of the FEDs indication that there will be three and perhaps four interest rate hikes this year. [...]

February 2018

Consumer Confidence

The Consumer confidence index surged 6.5 points in February according to the Conference Board. The index now stands at 130.8, its highest level in a year. Business conditions are reportedly strong and consumers feel good about the job market and the economy. On a year over year comparison, the 3MMA composite index was up 14.7 [...]

Automotive Sales

Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), shows that total light (cars and light truck/SUVs), vehicle sales in December were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, (SAAR) of 18.237 million (M), units, up 383,000 units or 2.1% from November. On a three month moving average (3MMA), basis sales were tracking at 18.178M, down 1.2% [...]

Consumer Credit

Total consumer credit increased by $18.4 billion, (B) in December, below the consensus estimate of $20B. Non-revolving credit advanced by $13.3B while revolving credit moved-up by $5.3B. November’s consumer credit was revised upwards by $2B to $30B essentially offsetting the miss in December. On a percentage year on year basis, consumer credit increased at an [...]

Employment: Initial, Continuous Jobless Claims and Net Job Creation

Seasonally adjusted, (SA) initial claims for unemployment insurance fell by 9,000 to 221,000. The four week moving average (4WMA) was 224,000, 17.0% lower than for the same period last year. Moody’s economist project an unemployment rate of 3.5% by the end of the year as layoffs are low and hiring remains firm. Continuous claims as [...]